Tommy Fleetwood will tee it up at the Arnold Palmer Invitational this week confident in his chances of winning the second PGA Tour title of his career.
Fleetwood finally got the monkey off his back when he won his first ever PGA Tour tournament at the Tour Championship back in August.
It’s fair to say that Fleetwood has made a solid start to his 2026 PGA Tour season, but he will be desperate to add more wins to his résumé this year.
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I have a good feeling about Collin this week!
He has recorded two top-10s in his two starts on the PGA Tour this year at Pebble Beach and Riviera respectively.
However, he’s primed to perform even better in the Arnold Palmer Invitational this week at Bay Hill in Orlando, Florida.
It could be argued that there isn’t one single course on the PGA Tour schedule which is more suited to Fleetwood’s game than Bay Hill.
The stat which proves Tommy Fleetwood is set for a big week at Bay Hill
Fleetwood is one of the PGA Tour’s supreme ball-strikers.
His bread and butter is driving the ball straight and hitting greens consistently.
And the key attribute needed to win at Bay Hill this week will be straight driving of the golf ball.
In 2025, Bay Hill ranked as the 4th hardest golf course on the PGA Tour to make a birdie from the rough (10.9%) and had the 4th worst average proximity from the rough (52.5 ft).
It goes without saying, then, that accurate driving will be crucial to anyone who’s hoping to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
That’s where Fleetwood comes in.
Tommy Fleetwood’s driving stats at Bay Hill
Over the last 24 rounds played at Bay Hill, the 35-year-old Englishman tops the driving accuracy stats, with 71% of all fairways hit.
He sits ahead of Corey Conners on 70% and Collin Morikawa on 68%.
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If the wind gets up in Orlando this week, which it usually does, Fleetwood will have a big advantage due to his ability to keep the ball down underneath the wind.
The 2025 Tour Championship winner was ranked 6th in strokes gained approach on the PGA Tour in 2025.
The combination of his driving accuracy and total control with his irons puts him in a great place to win his second PGA Tour title this week.
Much will depend on how his putter behaves but it’s fair to say that he has been much-improved on the greens over the past 10 months or so.
Is this week at Arnie’s place Fleetwood’s time to shine? The stats tell us that he could be set to win for the second time on the PGA Tour come Sunday evening.